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Thursday, July 15, 2010

NIFTY SHOOTING STAR

NIFTY VIEW

Business News

1.Jet Airways in code share pact with Kenya Airways
2.TCS CEO: chasing 15 large outsourcing deals
3.India 2010 gold imports seen at 500-550T - trade exec
4.Glaxo takes $2.4 bln charge, Avandia mostly settled
5.New strike hits Honda parts supplier in China
6.Tata Consultancy Q1 net up 21 pct, beats forecast

Sunday, June 27, 2010

WEEKLY UPDATE

There is a high chance that markets are forming a rounding top pattern on weekly charts... we are still halfway within the pattern as a lower high/ lower low is not yet formed. This means a move of another 6 months is still pending.

The substantial overlap in last few months does point to a topping out pattern and the fact remains that markets are still at the place they were in Oct last year.

If the view of a rounding top is correct, it will mean that markets will start forming lower highs and lower lows over the next 5-6 months without breaking 4500. This can be tremendously frustrating from a trading perspective.

Above remains a theorotical view... for a practical view, traders as usual should follow the hourly charts.

Monday, June 14, 2010

14.6.2010 nifty

The short term trend remains up with further/ additional confirmation coming today. Consider trend to be up as long as 5150 holds in futures.On hourly charts, a channel is visible. While this does not have any bullish or bearish implications, it shows the trading limits before some reversal can happen.On EOD charts, the kplswing has given a BUY (N=20).The last trade (SELL) has given a minor loss. Incidentally, this indicator has whipsawed 5 times in last 6 months due to the rangebound nature of the markets. On a different note, a whipsaw itself alerts one to likely of a rangebound market. Because of this rule, a buy signal shd be ignored on nifty unless one is having tight/ trailing SLs.